RBC calls for "rapid" action on rates

  1/12/2022 |   SHARE
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Market Growth

Royal Bank of Canada chief executive officer David McKay said the country’s central bank needs to take “rapid action” with multiple interest rate increases to bring inflation under control.

Speaking in an interview with Bloomberg News on Tuesday, McKay said he does not think the recent acceleration of inflation was transitory. He sees some signs of a wage-price cycle taking root that has already pushed up costs permanently.

“We’ve never really gone back as a society and reduced wages because inflation was temporary,” McKay, 58, said. “This is permanent, sustained inflation that has to be dealt with through monetary policy, and therefore we need rapid action this spring as a series of rate increases to address it.”

McKay’s comments illustrate the extent to which inflation -- along with labor shortages, rising wages and housing affordability -- has become a top area of concern for the nation’s executives. Canada’s inflation rate has been hovering near 5% in recent months, levels not seen since 2003. 

Markets are pricing in at least five Bank of Canada rate hikes this year, beginning as early as Jan. 26, when policy makers will unveil their first-rate decision of 2022. Central bank officials have indicated they’re poised to begin raising rates early this year to quell the price pressures after keeping the key policy interest rate at a historic low of 0.25% since March 2020.

Commercial banks charge their best customers just over two percentage points above that policy rate.

Support for higher rates is all the more significant given the nation’s households are among the most indebted anywhere, and will be squeezed by the rising borrowing costs -- a concern that McKay also highlighted during the interview. 

But the banker warned against blaming the nation’s soaring housing costs on its high levels of immigration, given the need for new sources of labor.

“We better figure out a way to accommodate” the population growth, said McKay, whose bank is Canada’s largest by market value. “Because if we don’t figure out a way to accommodate it through housing stock, then it could be the opposite: that we don’t attract immigrants because the cost of living and the quality of life isn’t there. That would be the worst outcome at the end of the day, that people chose to go to other markets because of quality of life.”

Source: Canadian Mortgage Professional



Bank of Canada, Bank of Canada Benchmark Rate, Canadian Debt, Canadian Inflation, Household Debt, Interest Rates, Mortgage Debt, Variable Rate Mortgages